Support for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s Labour Party is slipping in the Gorton and Denton constituency ahead of Thursday’s (26 February) by-election. The merged seat has returned Labour MPs for generations, but the resignation of Andrew Gwynne has left the party vulnerable.

• Greens surge among younger, diverse voters in inner Manchester, led by Zack Polanski.

• Reform UK gains support among older, working-class voters, with candidate Matt Goodwin campaigning on migration and national identity.

• Opinion polls show the Greens narrowly ahead of Reform, with Labour close behind, reflecting dissatisfaction over policy U-turns and controversies involving Peter Mandelson, Starmer’s ambassador appointee.

• Investors remain cautious, with UK government bonds reacting to uncertainty over Labour’s political future.

The contest highlights the erosion of Labour’s traditional strongholds, splitting voters along generational, demographic, and ideological lines.

ℹ️ Reuters

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A drone view shows rows of terraced houses in the constituency of Gorton and Denton ahead of a parliamentary by-election, in Manchester, Britain, February 18, 2026 REUTERS/Phil Noble
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