The White House has published a report examining what it describes as widespread illegal transshipment, in which goods are routed through third countries to evade US tariffs and alter their declared origin.

The report, titled ‘The Great Transshipment Scam’, says more than 40 countries have elevated transshipment risk, with China-linked trade a major focus. It estimates potential annual exposure at $40 billion to $303 billion, although the figures use different methodologies and are not directly comparable.

  • $67bn: estimated 2025 transshipment through Mexico, India and Vietnam.
  • $28bn: estimated associated tariff revenue loss.
  • 450,000: modelled jobs potentially displaced under the report’s central scenario.
  • Executive Order 14411 gives US Customs and Border Protection additional enforcement powers.

The report acknowledges that the overall impact of current policies remains uncertain.

ℹ️   The White House

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